Friday, 17 February 2012

UK Currency Exchange Gets Affected by Many Macroeconomic Factors of the Country

One of the factors that affect Forex Update is the rate of inflation. The reason why inflation rate plays a great role in determining currency value is because the ratio of currency in purchasing power parity is the foundation of the exchange rate that reflects the law of value. The inflation rate of any country is inversely proportional to the value of national currency. That is if inflation rate increases, value of national currency decreases. That is how inflationary depreciation of the currency in a country lowers the purchasing power and currency exchange rate against currencies of countries where the inflation rate is lower.

Currency exchange services also need to keep in mind the factor of balance of payments as it directly affects the value of currency exchange London. The active balance of payments promotes the national currency as the demand from foreign debtors increases. The passive balance of payments leads to the possibility of a decrease in the national currency's exchange rate as domestic debtors try to sell everything using a foreign currency to repay their external obligations. However, the effect of balance of payments on the exchange rate is always dependent upon the openness of the economy. In an economy in which share of exports in gross national product is higher, exchange rate is going to be more flexible.

Financial services company also knows that components of balance of payments also get affected as the exchange rate has definite impact on economic policy of the state. Those components include current account and capital account. The effect of changes in tariffs, import restrictions, trade quotas, export subsidies also impact trade balance. When there is a positive balance, the demand for the national currency increases and when it is negative, it decreases. Also, the level of domestic interest rates, restrictions and import and export of capital affect the movement of short-term and long-term capital.

Currency exchange services should inform their clients that negative influence of excessive short-term capital inflows into the country on its currency rate can increase the excess money supply, which, in turn, may lead to higher prices and the depreciation of the currency.

UK currency exchange rate is also affected by the difference in interest rates in different countries. There are two major factors involved in this. First, when there are changes in national interest rates, short-term international capital flows get affected. When national interest rates get increased, inflow of foreign capital too gets increased. Second factor is, interest rates affect the operation of foreign exchange markets and money markets. When any transaction has to be made, the difference in interest rates on national and global capital markets is taken into consideration so that maximum profit is derived. The banks often prefer to obtain cheaper loans in foreign money markets where rates are lower and put foreign currency on the domestic credit market, if its interest rates are higher.

However, when the interest rates increase, demand for domestic currency reduces because it becomes very expensive for business to get credits. For example, in order to take out a loan, an entrepreneur increases the cost of his product which consequently increases the prices of goods in the country. This then devalues the national currency against a foreign currency.